Southern Utah
Men -
Women
2015
-
2016 -
2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
74 |
Matthew Wright |
JR |
31:44 |
129 |
Kasey Knevelbaard |
SO |
31:57 |
151 |
Aidan Reed |
FR |
32:02 |
166 |
Josh Collins |
SO |
32:06 |
269 |
George Espino |
JR |
32:25 |
402 |
Brady Olson |
SO |
32:43 |
593 |
Liam Kennell |
JR |
33:06 |
717 |
Kyle Warrick |
FR |
33:20 |
749 |
Koy Moore |
SO |
33:23 |
|
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.1% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
3.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
34.6% |
Regional Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 in Regional |
27.9% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
|
Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Matthew Wright |
Kasey Knevelbaard |
Aidan Reed |
Josh Collins |
George Espino |
Brady Olson |
Liam Kennell |
Kyle Warrick |
Koy Moore |
Roy Griak Invitational |
09/24 |
534 |
31:43 |
31:21 |
31:22 |
32:57 |
32:42 |
32:40 |
33:07 |
|
33:31 |
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) |
09/30 |
575 |
32:02 |
31:35 |
32:09 |
32:11 |
32:08 |
32:50 |
32:47 |
33:39 |
|
Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational (B Race) |
10/14 |
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32:41 |
|
32:59 |
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Nuttycombe Wisconsin Invitational |
10/14 |
531 |
31:39 |
31:43 |
32:24 |
31:53 |
32:02 |
|
32:42 |
|
33:40 |
Big Sky Conference |
10/28 |
632 |
31:50 |
32:15 |
32:09 |
31:58 |
32:24 |
|
33:04 |
33:21 |
33:20 |
Mountain Region Championships |
11/11 |
510 |
31:29 |
32:29 |
32:01 |
31:27 |
32:06 |
32:45 |
34:07 |
|
|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
79.3% |
21.0 |
517 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.5 |
6.3 |
6.3 |
4.6 |
5.6 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
3.8 |
2.8 |
2.2 |
0.7 |
Region Championship |
100% |
6.0 |
163 |
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
7.0 |
19.8 |
41.6 |
28.3 |
1.9 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Matthew Wright |
87.2% |
73.6 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
Kasey Knevelbaard |
82.3% |
108.7 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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Aidan Reed |
80.7% |
118.0 |
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Josh Collins |
80.0% |
131.4 |
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George Espino |
79.3% |
175.8 |
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Brady Olson |
79.3% |
210.2 |
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Liam Kennell |
79.3% |
234.6 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Matthew Wright |
19.9 |
|
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.4 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
Kasey Knevelbaard |
27.9 |
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0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
Aidan Reed |
31.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
Josh Collins |
33.5 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
George Espino |
43.9 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Brady Olson |
54.3 |
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Liam Kennell |
65.2 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
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1 |
2 |
0.1% |
100.0% |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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2 |
3 |
1.1% |
100.0% |
| |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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1.1 |
3 |
4 |
7.0% |
100.0% |
| |
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1.7 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
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7.0 |
4 |
5 |
19.8% |
95.9% |
| |
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0.9 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
|
19.0 |
5 |
6 |
41.6% |
83.5% |
| |
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0.2 |
1.3 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
4.2 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
6.9 |
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34.8 |
6 |
7 |
28.3% |
61.8% |
| |
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0.1 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
10.8 |
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17.5 |
7 |
8 |
1.9% |
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1.9 |
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8 |
9 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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9 |
10 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
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Total |
100% |
79.3% |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
8.3 |
10.6 |
10.9 |
10.1 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
20.7 |
0.1 |
79.2 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.